- The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the White Sox
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+100) on Wednesday, July 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Blue Jays vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 46-40 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 44-43 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -105 | -120 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -115 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+20.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 46 games (+18.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+12.05 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games at home (+10.70 Units / 119% ROI)
White Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
White Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
White Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+18.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+2.45 Units / 7% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games at home (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 38-48 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -12.96% ROI).
- 46-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 39-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -8.69% ROI
- 43-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.21% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 44-43 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.78% ROI).
- 37-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -15.24% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -6.79% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -0.93% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (315/1,133) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 95th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 58% of the time (241/418) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
26 of Jose Berrios’ 95 strikeouts (27%) have come on changeups this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 88th Percentile.
41 of Jose Berrios’ 95 strikeouts (43%) have come on curveballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 89th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (127 Total Bases / 194 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .411 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of .845 (432 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .703 — first Percentile.
Lance Lynn has an ERA of 6.98 (38.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.64 — third Percentile.
Lance Lynn has an ERA of 6.28 (96.0 IP)this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.85 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 22-29 (.431) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Blue Jays are 16-16 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Blue Jays are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The White Sox are just 4-14 (.222) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The White Sox are just 29-4 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The White Sox are just 28-6 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The White Sox are just 12-25 (.324) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays hitters have just 370 strikeouts in 1,888 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 120 strikeouts in 635 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox has 1,331 quality ABs out of 3,258 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 61 walks in 1,177 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,472 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 340 of 3,357 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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