- The Blue Jays are -200 favorites vs the White Sox
- Blue Jays vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / White Sox TV Channel: RSN | TVA | CHSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-170) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+140) on Monday, July 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 52-38 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 50-40 ATS.
Blue Jays vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 4-3, 3.63 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 4-7, 4.10 ERA
Blue Jays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -102 | O 8.5 -105 | -170 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -118 | U 8.5 -115 | +140 |
Blue Jays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+11.70 Units / 195% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+8.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 89 games (+17.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+16.34 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.45 Units / 43% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.19 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 66 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 56 games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 54-35 against the Run Line (+16 Units / 12.85% ROI).
- 52-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.14 Units / 11.14% ROI
- 48-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 5.61% ROI
- 39-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -13.48% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 50-40 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 3.86% ROI).
- 30-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.11 Units / -16.7% ROI
- 38-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -13.03% ROI
- 46-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 4% ROI
White Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CWS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
White Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
White Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke (CWS) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has thrown just 48% of his pitches in the strike zone (444/923) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — 11th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has walked 4% of right-handed batters this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 86th Percentile.
Jose Berrios located 59% of his pitches away (352/599) when ahead in the count in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
34% of Jose Berrios’ strikeouts are looking this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 88th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Burke has 4 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd most in AL over the last two weeks — 98th Percentile.
Sean Burke has thrown breaking pitches 52% of the time (200/383) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (11-for-25) against Sean Burke’s low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .278 — third Percentile.
Sean Burke has thrown breaking pitches 48% of the time (168/352) when behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Blue Jays are 36-3 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Blue Jays are 32-19 (.627) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are 41-10 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The White Sox are just 46-134 (.256) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 58-31 (.652) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The White Sox are just 71-181 (.282) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .273 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .627 (9,171 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .342 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 5% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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