Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt
  • Watch the game on YES

The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+110) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 12-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 11-10 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +125O 8.5 -105-135
Yankees +1.5 -155U 8.5 -115+110

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+7.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
George Springer 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Oswald Peraza 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Anthony Volpe 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Oswald Peraza 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Anthony Volpe 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
George Springer 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Oswald Peraza 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clarke Schmidt 4.5 -105 4.5 -120
Gausman 5.5 -175 5.5 +135
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+5.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 19% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.98% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 3.14% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -8.35% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.85% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 19.12% ROI).

  • 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 5.66% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -36.91% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.3 Units / 27.45% ROI

Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .038 (52 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .020 (1-for-51) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .058 (53 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .505 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 42% (283/679) against Kevin Gausman since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.160 (29 Total Bases / 25 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 0 Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .543 (63 Total Bases / 116 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .359 — third Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (42 Total Bases / 66 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .346 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .560 (14-for-25) against Clarke Schmidt in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .337 — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .038.

The Blue Jays are 33-28 (.541) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Blue Jays are 19-15 (.559) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 4-1 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 20-29 (.408) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Yankees are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Yankees are 12-46 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Yankees are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.

Blue Jays hitters have just 294 strikeouts in 1,499 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 44 strikeouts in 246 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 28 walks in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.115 (141 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Yankees hitters are slugging just .306 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Yankees hitters have drawn 190 walks in 1,726 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10 of 185 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have not walked any of the 52 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 494 of 6,884 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 102 of 1,640 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
  • Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
  • Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
  • Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
  • Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Wrist/Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
  • Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.