- The – (82-36) are favorites vs the – (82-36)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-3), 3.71 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (9-5), 3.30 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 63-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-67 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 48 away games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 74 games (+12.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 48 away games (+12.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 45 of his last 62 games at home (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+14.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| DJ LeMahieu | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -150 |
| Mitch White | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+21.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-67 against the Run Line (-21.6 Units / -15.23% ROI).
- 63-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.8 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 59-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 57-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.82% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 52-67 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -12.31% ROI).
- 73-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.71% ROI
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch White has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 21st — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents are hitting just .196 (10-for-51) against Mitch White on inside fastballs this season — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 88th Percentile.
Mitch White has struck out just 13% (18/134) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 22% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (11/82) against Mitch White this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
54% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (63/164) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (265/682) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has located his fastball away 61% of the time (739/1,207) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Blue Jays are 53-14 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Blue Jays are 50-2 (.962) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Blue Jays are 55-3 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 9-30 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Yankees are 42-19 (.689) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Yankees are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Yankees are 44-11 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .660 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Blue Jays have an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .752 (3,311 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Yankees hitters have drawn 778 walks in 7,546 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 238 walks in 1,848 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 786 of 10,308 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.0 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Yankees pitchers have walked 163 of 2,523 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Holmes (Yankees): Back, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
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