- The Blue Jays (65-54) are -105 favorites vs the Yankees (73-48)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (12-6), 2.71 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (9-4), 2.73 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Bronx.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 63-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-67 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 49 away games (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 45 of his last 75 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 49 away games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 46 of his last 63 games at home (+18.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+15.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 37 games at home (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+22.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-67 against the Run Line (-21.6 Units / -15.23% ROI).
- 63-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.8 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 59-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 57-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.82% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 52-67 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -12.31% ROI).
- 73-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -0.76% ROI
- 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.71% ROI
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .165 (41-for-249) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .219 (270 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .488 (270 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .161 (72-for-448) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Nestor Cortes’ 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (730/1,323) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,233/2,376) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
17 of Nestor Cortes’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Blue Jays are 56-3 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Blue Jays are just 9-11 (.450) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 51-2 (.962) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 9-31 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Yankees are 13-9 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 44-11 (.800) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Yankees are 42-20 (.677) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .778 (8,123 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .660 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees have scored 1.77 runs per game (214/121) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.40.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .746 (1,454 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .682.
The Yankees have scored 196 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 314 of 4,430 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 787 of 10,346 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 163 of 2,532 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.1 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6
Yankees pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Clayton Holmes (Yankees): Back, D15
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- George Springer (Blue Jays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Teoscar Hernández (Blue Jays): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
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