Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

New York Yankees' Jazz Chisholm Jr. reacts after connecting for a solo home run against the Toronto Blue Jays during the fifth inning of Game 3 of baseball's American League Division Series, Tuesday, Oct. 7, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)
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  • The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Blue Jays are against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are ATS.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 10-6, 3.29 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 4-2, 3.22 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -185O 7.5 +100+120
Yankees -1.5 +150U 7.5 -120-145

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.50 Units / 181% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.10 Units / 60% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Josรฉ Caballero has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+15.00 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 40 games at home (+18.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 54% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kazuma Okamoto +280
Ben Rice +300
Trent Grisham +350
Luis Garcia Jr. +380
Alejandro Kirk +400

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Ernie Clement 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Lombard Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brett Bateman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ben Rice 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jose Caballero 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are just 7-46 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 9-30 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 19-107 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 44-4 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 42-5 (.894) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are 11-16 (.407) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Yankees are 5-46 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .147 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .225 (2,629 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 229 extra-base hits out of 530 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,121 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,121 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .234 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.89 (607.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.33 runs per game (230/69) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (1152.2 IP) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.