- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison, 4.05 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole, 0.00 ERA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+155) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Tampa.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Blue Jays are 9-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-5 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -120 | O 10 -110 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +100 | U 10 -110 | -190 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.75 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+13.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 away games (+13.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games at home (+13.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 8-4 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 36.76% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 34.24% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 2.23% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -11.58% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -14.92% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 12.83% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -22.9% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 58% of the time (647/1,115) with runners in scoring position since the start of the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .246 (17-for-69) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 36% (113/317) against Gerrit Cole when he was behind in the count last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has struck out 38% (253/672) of left-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 17-14 (.548) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 68-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Blue Jays are just 4-57 (.066) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Blue Jays are 78-20 (.796) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 14-9 (.609) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 27-112 (.194) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Blue Jays hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 45% against RHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .183 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees batted just .214 with two outs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 271 walks in 2,878 PA’s (9%) when leading off an inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters had an OPS of .745 (4,623 PA’s) against RHP last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 901 of 12,014 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 47% of the time last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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