Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 19

New York Yankees' Austin Wells reacts after hitting a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Monday, Sept. 9, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
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  • The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on May 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Blue Jays are 21-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 25-22 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 3-1, 2.41 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 5-1, 3.40 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -185O 8.5 +100+115
Yankees -1.5 +150U 8.5 -120-140

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+13.40 Units / 149% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Walks Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+18.40 Units / 230% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+15.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+11.00 Units / 110% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+9.15 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 22-25 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -7.87% ROI).

  • 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -19.81% ROI
  • 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -6.36% ROI
  • 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.84% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 25-22 against the Run Line (+7.3 Units / 14.24% ROI).

  • 29-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -1.37% ROI
  • 21-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -10.62% ROI
  • 24-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 1.32% ROI

Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Aaron Judge +210
Ben Rice +270
Daulton Varsho +333
George Springer +333
Kazuma Okamoto +340

Yankees vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ernie Clement 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Ben Rice 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Aaron Judge 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ben Rice 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brandon Valenzuela 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Austin Wells 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Blue Jays are just 2-9 (.182) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Yankees (fourth in runs allowed).

The Blue Jays are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Blue Jays are just 15-4 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.

The Blue Jays are just 14-3 (.824) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Yankees are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Yankees are 14-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Yankees are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Yankees are 15-6 (.714) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .540.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — tied for best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .506 at home this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 60 extra-base hits out of 129 total hits (47%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .143 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters are slugging .667 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (1,126 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 415 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (1,126 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 43 stolen bases this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Yankees pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.98 (235.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (122.1 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.