Braves vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

Los Angeles Angels third baseman Anthony Rendon throws the ball into the crowd in the first inning of a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Tuesday, June 13, 2023, in Arlington, Texas.
AP Photo/Gareth Patterson
  • The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Angels
  • Braves vs Angels Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Braves / Angels TV Channel: BSSE | BSW | MLBN

The Atlanta Braves (-225) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+180) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.

This season, the Braves are 64-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 67-55 ATS.

Braves vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 13-3, 2.63 ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 4-10, 5.12 ERA

Braves vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 -130O 8 -110-225
Angels +1.5 +110U 8 -110+180

Braves vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 46 games (+23.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+19.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+15.20 Units / 380% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 24 games (+19.50 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Griffin Canning has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Logan O’Hoppe has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.70 Units / 102% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 68 of their last 108 games (+28.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 60 away games (+10.04 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+5.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+10.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 63 games (+7.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 52-70 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -14.75% ROI).

  • 64-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.65 Units / -12.48% ROI
  • 46-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.3 Units / -23.5% ROI
  • 71-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.15 Units / 14.89% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Angels are 67-55 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -2.79% ROI).

  • 53-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -3.14% ROI
  • 58-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.22% ROI
  • 58-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -3.97% ROI

Angels vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +250 0.5 -300
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Jarred Kelenic (ATL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Angels vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Orlando Arcia (ATL) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Taylor Ward (LAA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Zach Neto (LAA) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Angels vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Matt Olson (ATL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Michael Harris (ATL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Angels vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Griffin Canning (LAA) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Chris Sale (ATL) 7.5 -120 7.5 -110

26 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 45% (37 SO in 82 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed an OPS of just .466 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 98th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 33% (177 SO in 531 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Griffin Canning has allowed an OPS of .941 (216 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — first Percentile.

Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (114 Total Bases / 194 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.

Griffin Canning has struck out just 16% (46/292) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .609 (39 Total Bases / 64 ABs) on fastballs away this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — third Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Braves are just 3-8 (.273) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.

The Braves are 72-134 (.350) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Braves are 102-65 (.611) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The Braves are 30-59 (.337) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Angels are just 26-38 (.406) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Angels are just 41-47 (.466) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Angels are just 109-11 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Angels are just 19-26 (.422) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.

The Braves are batting .270 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Braves hitters are slugging .463 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Angels are hitting just .212 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .636 (1,284 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .735.

The Angels have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Angels have scored first in just 35% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Braves pitchers this month (15 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Angels pitchers have walked 259 of 2,521 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 109 of 1,087 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Angels pitchers have walked 450 of 4,622 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Herget (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Michael Harris (Atlanta Braves): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Fried (Atlanta Braves): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Luplow (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Riley (Atlanta Braves): Personal, Paternity
  • Ray Kerr (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Ronald Acuna (Atlanta Braves): Knee, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.