- The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Braves starting pitcher: Michael Soroka
- Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Atlanta Braves (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+200) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Athletics Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 32-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 20-35 ATS.
Braves vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -2.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | -250 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -130 | U 9 -105 | +200 |
Braves vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 85.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+14.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
Athletics vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
Athletics vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Athletics vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Athletics vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Mike Soroka | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 22-31 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -13.37% ROI).
- 32-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 3.59% ROI
- 31-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 16.12% ROI
- 20-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -24.77% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 20-35 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -29.25% ROI).
- 10-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.5 Units / -53.49% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -14.35% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH on the 121 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 87.3.
Hitters have swung at 45% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (784/1,762) since last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 48% — seventh Percentile.
Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.7 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (164 balls in play) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 87.0
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (20/57) against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Braves are 10-8 (.556) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Braves are 29-21 (.580) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Athletics are just 8-36 (.182) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Athletics are just 0-5 (.000) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .576 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .947 (549 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Braves have scored first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,892 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.81 (473.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.82 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The Athletics have allowed 7.00 runs per game (378/54) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.
Athletics vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Michael Tonkin (Braves): Neck, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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