Braves vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 29, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Braves starting pitcher: Michael Soroka
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CA

The Atlanta Braves (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+200) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:07pm EDT in Oakland.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Braves vs Athletics Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 32-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 20-35 ATS.

Braves vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-2.5 +105O 9 -115-250
Athletics +2.5 -130U 9 -105+200

Braves vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 85.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+14.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)

Athletics vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Nick Allen 0.5 +1400 0.5
Seth Brown 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Tony Kemp 0.5 +1150 0.5
Matt Olson 0.5 +260 0.5 -450

Athletics vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nick Allen 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Seth Brown 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tony Kemp 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Athletics vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Nick Allen 0.5 +310 0.5 -450
Seth Brown 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Tony Kemp 0.5 +300 0.5 -450
Matt Olson 0.5 +120 0.5 -155

Athletics vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Blackburn 3.5 +100 3.5 -130
Mike Soroka 3.5 -175 3.5 +130
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 22-31 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -13.37% ROI).

  • 32-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 3.59% ROI
  • 31-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 16.12% ROI
  • 20-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -24.77% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 20-35 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -29.25% ROI).

  • 10-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.5 Units / -53.49% ROI
  • 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 5.48% ROI
  • 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -14.35% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH on the 121 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 87.3.

Hitters have swung at 45% of Paul Blackburn’s pitches (784/1,762) since last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 48% — seventh Percentile.

Paul Blackburn has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.7 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (164 balls in play) — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 87.0

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (20/57) against Paul Blackburn on low breaking pitches since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Braves are 10-8 (.556) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Braves are 29-21 (.580) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

The Braves are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Athletics are just 8-36 (.182) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Athletics are just 0-5 (.000) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

Braves hitters are slugging .576 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .947 (549 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

The Braves have scored first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Braves are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 18% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,892 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.81 (473.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.82 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.

The Athletics have allowed 7.00 runs per game (378/54) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.

Athletics vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
  • Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Michael Tonkin (Braves): Neck, D15
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.