- The Braves are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Athletics starting pitcher: John Patrick Sears
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Atlanta Braves (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+200) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 32-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 21-35 ATS.
Braves vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -2.5 +105 | O 8.5 -105 | -250 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -130 | U 8.5 -115 | +200 |
Braves vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 87.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+13.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.65 Units / 82% ROI)
Athletics vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pillar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Athletics vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Kevin Pillar | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Athletics vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kevin Pillar | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Athletics vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JP Sears | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Bryce Elder | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+6.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.40 Units / 29% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 22-32 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -15.43% ROI).
- 32-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.59% ROI
- 31-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 15.82% ROI
- 20-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -24.31% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 21-35 against the Run Line (-16.85 Units / -26.72% ROI).
- 11-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.45 Units / -48.89% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 5.38% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.6 Units / -14.09% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (60/93) against Bryce Elder this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has allowed a slugging percentage of just .220 (26 Total Bases / 118 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (13-for-39) against Bryce Elder on low fastballs this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — 16th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Bryce Elder with two-strikes — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .166 — third Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 5% (5/97) against JP Sears on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (42/154) against JP Sears this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (23/168) against JP Sears on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (30/118) against JP Sears this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Braves are 29-21 (.580) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 10-8 (.556) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Braves are 11-5 (.688) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Athletics are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Athletics are just 0-5 (.000) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Athletics are just 9-36 (.200) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Athletics are just 3-4 (.429) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .570 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .942 (564 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Braves have scored first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves have scored first in 84% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 21% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .613 (3,966 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 16% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.78 (491.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
The Athletics have allowed 6.96 runs per game (390/56) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.58.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.82 (222.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Athletics vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Michael Tonkin (Braves): Neck, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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