- The Braves (84-51) are -225 favorites vs the Athletics (50-85)
- Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (17-5), 2.85 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Cole Irvin (7-11), 3.35 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Atlanta Braves (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+185) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Braves vs Athletics Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 82-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 64-68 ATS.
Braves vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -125 | O 8 -115 | -225 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | +185 |
Braves vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 63 of his last 85 games (+23.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+21.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 70 of his last 123 games (+15.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+12.10 Units / 101% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 55 of his last 92 games (+11.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
Athletics vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Stevenson | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1400 | 0.5 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Athletics vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Stevenson | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Athletics vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Stevenson | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dermis Garcia | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Athletics vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
| Kyle Wright | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 109 games (+28.42 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 59 of their last 111 games (+5.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 69-63 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.22% ROI).
- 82-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 4.84% ROI
- 66-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.37% ROI
- 58-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -10.15% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 64-68 against the Run Line (-18.35 Units / -10.7% ROI).
- 48-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.9 Units / -12.91% ROI
- 56-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.55 Units / -15.4% ROI
- 71-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.6 Units / 6.63% ROI
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (126/207) against Kyle Wright this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 23 double plays in 120 opportunities (19%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (86/153) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has allowed a slugging percentage of just .293 (80 Total Bases / 273 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 96th Percentile.
Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .448 (60 Total Bases / 134 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .250 (21-for-84) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .335 — 97th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has a first-pitch strike rate of 68% (398/590) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 94th Percentile.
Cole Irvin has walked 10 of 254 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 31-4 (.886) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Braves are 57-8 (.877) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Braves are 47-25 (.653) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Athletics are just 5-35 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Athletics are just 22-44 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Athletics are just 48-73 (.397) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 39-10 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .556.
Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Braves hitters have 957 strikeouts in 3,764 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .756 (8,359 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,880 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Athletics have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Athletics have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Athletics vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
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