Braves vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

Milwaukee Brewers' Christian Yelich hits an RBI single during the third inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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  • The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Braves
  • Braves vs Brewers Over / Under today: 6 Runs
  • Braves / Brewers TV Channel: BRVN | BRTV

The Atlanta Braves (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on August 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Braves are 75-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 67-61 ATS.

Braves vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 12-8, 2.15 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski 12-5, 1.74 ERA

Braves vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -210O 6 -105+120
Brewers -1.5 +170U 6 -115-145

Braves vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • William Contreras has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Joey Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+14.50 Units / 290% ROI)
  • Jacob Misiorowski has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.50 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 30 away games (+17.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+9.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-61 against the Run Line (+13.95 Units / 9.57% ROI).

  • 75-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 3.83% ROI
  • 59-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -7.29% ROI
  • 63-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -0.61% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 67-61 against the Run Line (+15.6 Units / 10.61% ROI).

  • 79-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 6.32% ROI
  • 56-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -13.89% ROI
  • 69-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 5.39% ROI

Brewers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +325
Gary Sanchez +375
Ronald Acuna Jr. +390
Drake Baldwin +400
William Contreras +425

Brewers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
William Contreras 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Brewers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Lara 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
William Contreras 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Cooper Pratt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Joey Ortiz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Braves are 41-8 (.837) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are 64-19 (.771) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Braves are 17-14 (.548) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Brewers (second fewest runs allowed).

The Braves are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Brewers are 12-36 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 16-14 (.533) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 10-39 (.204) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-2 (.867) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are 23-8 (.742) against the run line (15.9% ROI) when underdogs this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are 41-8 (.837) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Games involving the Braves went UNDER in 69% of their games (30.3% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves are 64-19 (.771) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Brewers are 12-36 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 16-14 (.533) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Brewers are 10-39 (.204) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers are 13-2 (.867) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Braves pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this month (19 games) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this month (19 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 7 of 53 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (169.2 IP) this month (19 games) — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.