- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+110) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Braves vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 3-0 ATS.
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +130 | O 8 +100 | -130 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -120 | +110 |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 64.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Cardinals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 104 of their last 169 games (+9.60 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 86 away games (+7.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 86 games at home (+11.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games at home (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 86 games at home (+9.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 2-1 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 22.5% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 4.44% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 3-0 against the Run Line (+3.65 Units / 86.9% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 31.82% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 31.75% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -38.57% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton walked 63 of 728 batters (9%) in 2022 — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (505/1,139) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton had a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (427/732) in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
17 of Charlie Morton’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 — 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 90th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Woodford induced opposing hitters to ground into 10 double plays in 41 opportunities (24%) in 2022 — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (59/346) against Jake Woodford in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Jake Woodford had a strikeout rate of just 13% (24/188) in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 15% (74 SO in 481 PAs) since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Braves are 71-26 (.732) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Braves are 111-31 (.782) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals were 22-27 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 22-21 (.512) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cardinals are 98-64 (.605) at home since the 2021 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .656 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Braves hitters slugged .444 against LHP in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves hitters are slugging .304 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s in 2022 (430/6,082) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 675 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 603 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters slugged .465 against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) in 2022 (; League Avg: 117.3).
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 157 double plays in 1,209 opportunities (13%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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