- The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves starting pitcher: Dylan Dodd
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-140) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Braves vs Cardinals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 3-1 ATS.
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -165 | O 10 -115 | +115 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | U 10 -105 | -140 |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Tommy Edman | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Juan Yepez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 170 games (+17.04 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 92 of their last 170 games (+12.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 105 of their last 170 games (+10.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 87 away games (+8.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 77 of their last 142 games (+6.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 87 games at home (+10.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+9.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 87 games at home (+8.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 87 games at home (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 87 games at home (+3.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 46% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 16.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -3.53% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -6.59% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 35.34% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 1.16% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 48.19% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -54.26% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Dodd is making his MLB debut today.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .374 (201 Total Bases / 537 ABs) with two-strikes since the 2020 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: .267 — first Percentile.
86% of Steven Matz’s called strikeouts are inside against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 48 of Steven Matz’s 289 fastballs in off the plate (17%) since the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fourth Percentile.
The last hit on a Steven Matz fastball was May 17th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his fastball. — Luis Cessa has the longest active streak at 20.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 36-5 (.878) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Braves were 46-35 (.568) on the road in 2022 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 28-12 (.700) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Cardinals were 22-21 (.512) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cardinals were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .443 against RHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Braves hitters slugged .486 on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (1,216 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Braves hitters slugged .443 in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 260 extra-base hits out of 604 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .804 (2,622 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,366 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Left Hamstring, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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