- The – are favorites vs the –
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Braves vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 3-2 ATS.
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | O | ||
| Cardinals | U |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 101 of their last 171 games (+18.04 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 93 of their last 171 games (+13.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 106 of their last 171 games (+11.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 88 away games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 88 away games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 88 games at home (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games at home (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 88 games at home (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 88 games at home (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 88 games at home (+1.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 50% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 27.78% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -24.07% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 12.5% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.05 Units / 15.44% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -23.68% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 16.04% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -26.96% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Bryce Elder when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 95th Percentile.
Bryce Elder allowed an OBP of just .100 (20 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (31/57) against Bryce Elder over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
41% of Bryce Elder’s strikeouts were looking over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of .667 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OBP of .524 (21 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .316 — second Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of 1.381 (15 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .722 — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 10% (3/30) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 25-10 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 23-28 (.451) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cardinals were 16-4 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .652 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (1,216 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Braves hitters slugged .307 with two-strikes in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Braves hitters slugged .443 against RHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .397 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Cardinals hitters have 287 extra-base hits out of 676 total hits (42%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cardinals are batting .344 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 7% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 7% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 157 double plays in 1,209 opportunities (13%) in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lars Nootbaar (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
- Paul DeJong (Cardinals): Back, D10
- Wilking RodrÃguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Left Hamstring, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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