- The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Braves vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Cardinals TV Channel: ATV
The Atlanta Braves (-165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+135) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Braves are 53-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 53-36 ATS.
Braves vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 9-6, 2.26 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Leahy 7-4, 3.88 ERA
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | -165 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -125 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chris Sale has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Strikeouts Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Blaze Jordan has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Blaze Jordan has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Blaze Jordan has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 77% ROI)
- Blaze Jordan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 48-42 against the Run Line (+10.85 Units / 10.41% ROI).
- 53-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 3.23% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -2.98% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.77% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 53-36 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 4.61% ROI).
- 48-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 9.45% ROI
- 39-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.85 Units / -13.84% ROI
- 48-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 4.94% ROI
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | +340 |
| Jordan Walker | +400 |
| Michael Harris II | +450 |
| Drake Baldwin | +500 |
| Nelson Velazquez | +550 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| JJ Wetherholt | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| JJ Wetherholt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are 7-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 28-6 (.824) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Braves are 3-34 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Braves are 27-20 (.574) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 23-19 (.548) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Braves (seventh in runs scored).
The Cardinals are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 11-101 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .305 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 59% this season — 4th best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .560 (1,863 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
The Braves are batting .183 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Cardinals have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .331 (1,708 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .371 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 487 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.
Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
The Braves have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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