Braves vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 11

St. Louis Cardinals second baseman Nolan Gorman throws out Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz at first base during the fifth inning of a baseball game, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
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  • The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Braves vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Braves / Cardinals TV Channel: CATV | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Braves are 54-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 54-37 ATS.

Braves vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 4-1, 3.20 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore 4-6, 5.34 ERA

Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +145O 8 -102-120
Cardinals +1.5 -175U 8 -118+100

Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+19.40 Units / 323% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+16.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+20.00 Units / 400% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+6.30 Units / 14% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 49-43 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 10.59% ROI).

  • 54-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 2.69% ROI
  • 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -3.02% ROI
  • 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -4.76% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 54-37 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 4.1% ROI).

  • 49-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 9.66% ROI
  • 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -13.64% ROI
  • 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 4.74% ROI

Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +400
Jordan Walker +400
Ozzie Albies +475
Alec Burleson +475
JJ Wetherholt +500

Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jordan Walker 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Michael Harris II 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ivan Herrera 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
JJ Wetherholt 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Walker 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Joey Bart 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jimmy Crooks 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Braves are 23-15 (.605) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Braves are 27-21 (.562) on the road this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Braves are 7-1 (.875) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 28-6 (.824) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cardinals are 24-19 (.558) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Braves (sixth in runs scored).

The Cardinals are just 11-101 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Cardinals are 33-23 (.589) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Cardinals were just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves hitters are slugging .251 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Braves are batting .176 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 58% this season — 4th best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .678 (1,818 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .370 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Cardinals have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (414.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Braves have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Cardinals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.9 MPH (2,443 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.