- The Braves (37-28) are -200 favorites vs the Cubs (24-40)
- Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (7-3), 2.56 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (1-5), 4.33 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Atlanta Braves (-200) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+165) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Braves vs Cubs Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 37-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 32-32 ATS.
Braves vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | O 7 +100 | -200 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -105 | U 7 -120 | +165 |
Braves vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 62.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonathan Villar | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Cubs vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Jonathan Villar | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Cubs vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan Villar | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -145 |
| Kyle Wright | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 35-30 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 3.32% ROI).
- 37-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.39% ROI
- 35-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 7.89% ROI
- 27-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -16.13% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 32-32 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -6.43% ROI).
- 24-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.4 Units / -21.52% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 31-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -4.2% ROI
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Wright has walked 8 of 45 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Kyle Wright has allowed an OPS of just .535 (147 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .679 — 93rd Percentile.
Kyle Wright has allowed a slugging percentage of just .276 (72 Total Bases / 261 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (52/91) against Kyle Wright this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele had a strike rate of 78% (60/77) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (497/686) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (108/238) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (32/49) against Justin Steele — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The Braves are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Braves are just 30-5 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Braves are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Cubs are just 17-2 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Cubs are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Cubs are just 24-29 (.453) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 468 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters are slugging .719 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Braves hitters are slugging .533 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Braves hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 264 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have 570 strikeouts in 2,307 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .157 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 33% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have walked 54 of 582 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Cubs have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cubs vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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