Braves vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:10 AM
  • The Braves (37-29) are -155 favorites vs the Cubs (25-40)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Ian Anderson (5-3), 4.80 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (2-5), 4.94 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+125) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Braves vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 33-32 ATS.

Braves vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +105O 9 -110-155
Cubs +1.5 -125U 9 -110+125

Braves vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 52 games (+18.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 54 games (+16.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 52 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 51 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 37 of his last 54 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Cubs vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
    Christopher Morel 0.5 +400 0.5 -700
    Ian Happ 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Jason Heyward 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Jonathan Villar 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

    Cubs vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alfonso Rivas 0.5 -125 0.5 -110
    Christopher Morel 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
    Ian Happ 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    Jason Heyward 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
    Jonathan Villar 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

    Cubs vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alfonso Rivas 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
    Christopher Morel 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Ian Happ 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Jason Heyward 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Jonathan Villar 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

    Cubs vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Kyle Hendricks 3.5 -165 3.5 +120
    Ian Anderson 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.97 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 54 games (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 35-31 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.81% ROI).

    • 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -2.42% ROI
    • 36-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 9.14% ROI
    • 27-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -17.34% ROI

    Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 33-32 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -5.12% ROI).

    • 25-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -18.81% ROI
    • 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.71% ROI
    • 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -5.61% ROI

    Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.200 (62 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .733 — first Percentile.

    Ian Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 61 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .411 (23-for-56) against Ian Anderson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.

    Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 58% (205/356) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

    Kyle Hendricks: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 1.193 (87 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — first Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (36/115) against Kyle Hendricks this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

    Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — 0 Percentile.

    Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.2 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 93.1 — 0 Percentile.

    Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

    The Braves are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

    The Braves are 21-6 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

    The Braves are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Braves are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

    The Cubs are just 13-24 (.351) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    The Cubs are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

    The Cubs are just 2-12 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

    The Cubs are just 12-16 (.429) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

    Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.

    Braves hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 164 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (701 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

    Braves hitters have 207 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Cubs hitters are slugging just .157 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

    Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

    The Cubs have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    The Cubs are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 23 of 425 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    Cubs pitchers have walked 48 of 475 batters (10%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    The Cubs have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Cubs vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.