- The Braves (37-29) are -155 favorites vs the Cubs (25-40)
- Braves starting pitcher: Ian Anderson (5-3), 4.80 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks (2-5), 4.94 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+125) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 37-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 33-32 ATS.
Braves vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -110 | -155 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -110 | +125 |
Braves vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan Villar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cubs vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jonathan Villar | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Cubs vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan Villar | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +120 |
| Ian Anderson | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 35-31 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.81% ROI).
- 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -2.42% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 9.14% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -17.34% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 33-32 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -5.12% ROI).
- 25-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -18.81% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -2.71% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -5.61% ROI
Ian Anderson: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.200 (62 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .733 — first Percentile.
Ian Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 61 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .411 (23-for-56) against Ian Anderson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.
Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 58% (205/356) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OPS of 1.193 (87 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .707 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (36/115) against Kyle Hendricks this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 93.2 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.2 MPH on fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 93.1 — 0 Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are 26-4 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Braves are 21-6 (.778) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Braves are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Braves are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are just 13-24 (.351) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Cubs are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Cubs are just 2-12 (.143) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Cubs are just 12-16 (.429) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Braves hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 164 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (701 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Braves hitters have 207 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .157 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Cubs have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
The Cubs are batting just .152 with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have walked 23 of 425 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 48 of 475 batters (10%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cubs vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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