- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+120) on Thursday, August 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Braves vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 87-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 75-57 ATS.
Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -105 | -145 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -115 | +120 |
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+15.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+11.35 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+20.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+17.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+16.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+15.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
| Lance Lynn | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 78 of their last 132 games (+19.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 82 of their last 132 games (+19.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+15.94 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 106 games (+25.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 112 games (+20.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 55 games at home (+14.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games at home (+8.74 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.44 Units / 61% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 69-63 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 1.7% ROI).
- 87-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 4.78% ROI
- 69-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 2.63% ROI
- 59-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -11.7% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 75-57 against the Run Line (+21.9 Units / 13.9% ROI).
- 83-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 75-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.7 Units / 12.81% ROI
- 51-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.7 Units / -21.23% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 44% (288/657) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (236 SO in 620 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (120/242) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (547/1,365) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has not struck out any hitters in 31 PA’s vs left-handed batters — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .647 (66 Total Bases / 102 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .420 — fourth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .531 (95 Total Bases / 179 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 40% (82/205) against Lance Lynn this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 19th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
keys to the game – away
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
keys to the game – home
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .569 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .389 (597 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Braves hitters are slugging .537 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .898 (1,134 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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