Braves vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 1

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 01, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Julio Urías
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+110) on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Braves vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 88-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 76-57 ATS.

Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +125O 8.5 -115-135
Dodgers +1.5 -155U 8.5 -105+110

Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Braves vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+16.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.45 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 28 games (+21.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+18.35 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+17.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 48 games (+17.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.10 Units / 23% ROI)

Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Will Smith 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Kevin Pillar 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Amed Rosario 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Matt Olson 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Will Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kevin Pillar 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Amed Rosario 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Will Smith 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Kevin Pillar 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Amed Rosario 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Matt Olson 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Urias 5.5 +105 5.5 -135
Max Fried 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 133 games (+20.24 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 83 of their last 133 games (+20.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 75 games (+16.94 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 107 games (+26.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 113 games (+21.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 56 games at home (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+9.74 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.44 Units / 63% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 69-64 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 1.05% ROI).

  • 88-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 5.18% ROI
  • 70-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 3.29% ROI
  • 59-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.8 Units / -12.31% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 76-57 against the Run Line (+22.9 Units / 14.41% ROI).

  • 83-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 3.25% ROI
  • 76-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.7 Units / 13.38% ROI
  • 51-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.7 Units / -21.77% ROI

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.7 MPH (150 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (149 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .423 (189 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .724 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (92/155) against Max Fried this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (116/325) when he’s behind in the count this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 95th Percentile.

Julio Urias has not walked any of the 132 batters that he has faced versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (272/802) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Julio Urias has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (417/1,203) in non-two strike counts this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 95th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 20-21 (.488) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Braves are 23-35 (.397) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Braves are 43-32 (.573) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 20-11 (.645) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 35-14 (.714) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Dodgers are 71-6 (.922) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Dodgers are 171-26 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Dodgers are 36-15 (.706) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.

Braves hitters are slugging .488 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Braves hitters are slugging .466 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .893 (1,144 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Braves hitters are slugging .322 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (3,486 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .696.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (8,242 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (8,242 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
  • Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60

Bet now on Braves vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.