Braves vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
  • Dodgers starting pitcher:
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Braves vs Dodgers Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

This season, the Braves are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 0-0 ATS.

Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +140O 10 -115-115
Dodgers +1.5 -165U 10 -105-105

Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+17.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+19.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+16.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+16.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+16.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+15.65 Units / 34% ROI)

Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Max Muncy 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Jason Heyward 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Will Smith 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Matt Olson 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Max Muncy 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jason Heyward 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Will Smith 1.5 +190 1.5 -250
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Max Muncy 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Jason Heyward 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Will Smith 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Matt Olson 0.5 +120 0.5 -160

Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Elder 3.5 +100 3.5 -135
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 133 games (+20.24 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 83 of their last 133 games (+20.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 75 games (+16.94 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+12.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 107 games (+26.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 113 games (+21.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 56 games at home (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games at home (+9.74 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.44 Units / 63% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 46% of the time (559/1,206) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (79/421) against Bryce Elder this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Bryce Elder has a strikeout rate of just 34% (107 SO in 316 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (53/95) against Bryce Elder when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 81% of Bobby Miller’s pitches (38/47) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (14 Total Bases / 28 ABs) with two-strikes — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.

Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of just 30% (9 SO in 30 PAs) with two-strikes — 8th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 10th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 43-32 (.573) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 20-21 (.488) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Braves are 23-35 (.397) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 36-15 (.706) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.

The Dodgers are 171-26 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Dodgers are 35-15 (.700) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Dodgers are 71-6 (.922) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Braves hitters are slugging .541 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .902 (1,172 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .847 (5,143 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

Braves hitters are slugging .325 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (3,503 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Dodgers have scored 482 runs in innings 7-9 since last season — most in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have 143 extra-base hits out of 316 total hits (45%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have 298 extra-base hits out of 707 total hits (42%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
  • Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
  • Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
  • Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.