- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) on Sunday, September 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Braves vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 90-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 76-59 ATS.
Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 9 +100 | -115 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -120 | -105 |
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 58.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+13.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+18.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 5.5 +145 | 5.5 -190 |
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 80 of their last 135 games (+21.24 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 135 games (+20.44 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+16.59 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 78 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 109 games (+23.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 115 games (+21.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 58 games at home (+11.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+7.24 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.14 Units / 38% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 71-64 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 2.74% ROI).
- 90-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.1 Units / 5.97% ROI
- 71-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 60-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.95 Units / -12.22% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 76-59 against the Run Line (+19.8 Units / 12.22% ROI).
- 83-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 77-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.7 Units / 13.2% ROI
- 52-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.85 Units / -21.53% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (581/1,242) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (1,371/3,843) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (2,207/5,429) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (212/581) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has allowed a .750 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh worst)– eighth Percentile and just .207 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fifth best among qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 81% of Bobby Miller’s pitches (38/47) with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has a strike rate of 73% (133/183) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 20-21 (.488) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Braves are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 22-17 (.564) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Braves are 43-32 (.573) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 171-27 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Dodgers are 36-15 (.706) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Dodgers are 68-34 (.667) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Dodgers are 35-16 (.686) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.66 (600.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Dodgers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- Anthony Gonsolin (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin, D10
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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