- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+125) on Friday, August 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 82-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 61-65 ATS.
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 -120 | -150 |
| Giants | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 +100 | +125 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 70.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.55 Units / 88% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+10.00 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+19.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+14.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -500 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Spencer Strider | 8.5 -140 | 8.5 +105 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 78 of their last 126 games (+17.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 74 of their last 126 games (+16.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.29 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 80 games (+21.04 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 14% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 64-62 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -0.98% ROI).
- 82-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 3.36% ROI
- 66-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 56-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -12.07% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-65 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -5.51% ROI).
- 65-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -3.56% ROI
- 53-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.9 Units / -17.77% ROI
- 70-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 9.07% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 49% (111/228) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (227 SO in 595 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (523/1,309) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 44% (273/624) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (293/477) against Logan Webb this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (354/750) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (995/2,493) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (196/313) against Logan Webb in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 42-32 (.568) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Braves are 22-34 (.393) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Braves are 18-10 (.643) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Braves are 20-21 (.488) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 31-27 (.534) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 120-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Giants are 18-11 (.621) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .399 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Giants are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,268 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Giants are batting just .154 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Braves pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 325 of 4,751 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 72 of 1,132 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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