- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried
- Giants starting pitcher: Ryan Walker
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+145) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 83-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 61-66 ATS.
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | O 8 +100 | -175 |
| Giants | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -120 | +145 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.15 Units / 93% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+19.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+17.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael Harris | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Ryan Walker | 1.5 -140 | 1.5 +105 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 127 games (+18.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 127 games (+17.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+17.29 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 81 games (+22.04 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 51 games (+15.09 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 24 games (+2.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.72 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 65-62 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.24% ROI).
- 83-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.79% ROI
- 66-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 57-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.55 Units / -11.26% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-66 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -6.27% ROI).
- 65-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 53-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.1 Units / -18.47% ROI
- 71-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.45 Units / 9.73% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (147 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .428 (184 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .725 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (209 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: 80.5
Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .497 (342 PA’s) versus the top of the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .750 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Walker has allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (3 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .404 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (13/57) against Ryan Walker on fastballs this season — best among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 35% (28/81) against Ryan Walker when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Walker’s K:BB ratio is 7.0 (21/3) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.5 — 97th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 22-34 (.393) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Braves are 18-10 (.643) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Braves are 21-17 (.553) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Braves are 42-32 (.568) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 55-1 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are just 29-49 (.372) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Giants are 19-14 (.576) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Giants are 39-27 (.591) after a road win since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .527 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .386 (581 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Braves hitters are slugging .468 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Braves hitters are slugging .465 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .686 (2,302 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .309 (1,339 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Giants hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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