- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Giants
- Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
- Giants starting pitcher: Tristan Beck
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+115) on Sunday, August 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 84-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 61-67 ATS.
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | O 10 -115 | -140 |
| Giants | +1.5 -135 | U 10 -105 | +115 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 80% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+18.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Luis Matos | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Harris | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Shuster | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 128 games (+19.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 76 of their last 128 games (+18.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 70 games (+18.29 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 53 of their last 82 games (+20.89 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 52 games (+16.09 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+1.15 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 66-62 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.43% ROI).
- 84-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.4 Units / 4.21% ROI
- 67-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 2.89% ROI
- 57-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -11.89% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 61-67 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -6.86% ROI).
- 65-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.75 Units / -4.74% ROI
- 54-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.1 Units / -17.61% ROI
- 71-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 8.94% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Houck had a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (127/244) in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
8 of Tanner Houck’s 29 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) were backdoor in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Houck allowed a slugging percentage of just .227 (30 Total Bases / 132 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .358 — 98th Percentile.
Tanner Houck walked 14 of 101 left-handed batters (14%) in 2022 — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .091 (3-for-33) against Tristan Beck’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .205 — 97th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has located his pitches away 64% of the time (148/233) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has allowed a slugging percentage of just .094 (3 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd best among in MLB; League Avg: .340 — 97th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has walked 8 of 175 right-handed batters (5%) this season — tied for 9th best among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 91st Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 42-32 (.568) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 22-34 (.393) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Braves are 20-21 (.488) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Braves are 152-32 (.826) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are just 13-21 (.382) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 19-14 (.576) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Giants are 55-1 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .308 (1,347 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Giants are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .187 with two-strikes over the last 30 days (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Giants are batting just .158 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 772 of 10,895 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Allen Pollock (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Mark Mathias (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- John Brebbia (Giants): Lat, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Forearm, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Arm, D60
- Cole Waites (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Michael Conforto (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D15
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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