Braves vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves (87-53) are -185 favorites vs the Giants (67-73)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (10-4), 2.68 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (5-6), 3.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Atlanta Braves (-185) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+150) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 85-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 62-73 ATS.

Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +100O 6.5 +105-185
Giants +1.5 -120U 6.5 -125+150

Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 67 of his last 90 games (+25.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+22.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+17.10 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 128 games (+16.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 85 of his last 128 games (+13.30 Units / 6% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
David Villar 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Joc Pederson 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Joey Bart 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
David Villar 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Joc Pederson 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Joey Bart 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 -135 0.5 -110

Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
David Villar 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Joc Pederson 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Joey Bart 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Cobb 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
Spencer Strider 7.5 +100 7.5 -145
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 114 games (+24.57 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.18 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 71-66 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -1.7% ROI).

  • 85-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 4.84% ROI
  • 70-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 3.3% ROI
  • 59-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -11.92% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 62-73 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -11.21% ROI).

  • 66-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.45 Units / -12.74% ROI
  • 65-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -2.93% ROI
  • 63-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.07% ROI

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 50% (25 SO in 50 PAs) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has struck out 44% (103/235) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has struck out 53% (16/30) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (183 SO in 480 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (215/351) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (564/1,396) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (105/168) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Braves are 14-116 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Braves are 83-31 (.728) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Braves are 102-77 (.570) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Braves are 176-49 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Giants are 22-127 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 95-87 (.522) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Giants are 78-25 (.757) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

The Giants are 108-72 (.600) at home since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Braves hitters are slugging .436 on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .803 (1,424 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Braves hitters are slugging .486 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Braves hitters are slugging .623 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Giants are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters are slugging just .365 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .291 (611 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .215 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% against Braves pitchers this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 166 of 2,702 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 798 of 11,239 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Robert Wynns (Giants): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
  • Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
  • Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.