- The Braves (87-53) are -185 favorites vs the Giants (67-73)
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (10-4), 2.68 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (5-6), 3.67 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Atlanta Braves (-185) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+150) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 85-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 62-73 ATS.
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | O 6.5 +105 | -185 |
| Giants | +1.5 -120 | U 6.5 -125 | +150 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 67 of his last 90 games (+25.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+22.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 17 away games (+17.10 Units / 101% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 73 of his last 128 games (+16.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 85 of his last 128 games (+13.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+14.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -110 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
| Spencer Strider | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 114 games (+24.57 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games at home (+16.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.18 Units / 53% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 71-66 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -1.7% ROI).
- 85-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 4.84% ROI
- 70-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 3.3% ROI
- 59-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -11.92% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 62-73 against the Run Line (-18.8 Units / -11.21% ROI).
- 66-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.45 Units / -12.74% ROI
- 65-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 63-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.07% ROI
Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 50% (25 SO in 50 PAs) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 44% (103/235) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 53% (16/30) of right-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% (183 SO in 480 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (215/351) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (564/1,396) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (105/168) against Alex Cobb this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 14-116 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Braves are 83-31 (.728) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Braves are 102-77 (.570) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Braves are 176-49 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 22-127 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 95-87 (.522) on the road since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Giants are 78-25 (.757) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Giants are 108-72 (.600) at home since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .436 on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .803 (1,424 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Braves hitters are slugging .486 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Braves hitters are slugging .623 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters are slugging just .365 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .291 (611 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .215 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% against Braves pitchers this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 166 of 2,702 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 798 of 11,239 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wynns (Giants): Head, Day-to-Day
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
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