- The Braves (87-54) are -165 favorites vs the Giants (68-73)
- Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (17-5), 3.23 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-5), 3.98 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-165) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+135) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 85-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 63-73 ATS.
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -105 | -165 |
| Giants | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 68 of his last 91 games (+26.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+21.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 74 of his last 129 games (+17.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.10 Units / 89% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 85 of his last 129 games (+11.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+15.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+10.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Junis | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Kyle Wright | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 115 games (+23.42 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 51 games (+5.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+15.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.18 Units / 59% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 71-67 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -2.29% ROI).
- 85-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 3.99% ROI
- 70-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 2.49% ROI
- 60-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -11.18% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 63-73 against the Run Line (-17.8 Units / -10.54% ROI).
- 67-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.8 Units / -11.86% ROI
- 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -5.38% ROI
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (131/214) against Kyle Wright this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (90/159) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (235/437) against Kyle Wright this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
13 of Kyle Wright’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 9th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 84th Percentile.
Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 62% of the time (186/301) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total SL; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 52% of the time (752/1,458) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 47% of the time (485/1,037) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Jakob Junis’ pitches in the zone (465/785) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 14-116 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Braves are 83-31 (.728) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Braves are just 14-20 (.412) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 108-74 (.593) at home since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are 22-127 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 78-25 (.757) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
The Giants are 94-25 (.790) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Giants are 108-72 (.600) at home since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .658 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Braves hitters are slugging .458 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .486 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Braves are batting .269 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .212 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .216 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .293 (618 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% against Braves pitchers this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 166 of 2,711 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 799 of 11,274 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
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