- The Braves (88-54) are -130 favorites vs the Giants (68-74)
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (8-5), 4.07 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (12-8), 2.93 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Braves vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 86-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 63-74 ATS.
Braves vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 7 +105 | -130 |
| Giants | +1.5 -160 | U 7 -125 | +110 |
Braves vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 69 of his last 92 games (+27.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 51 games (+22.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 75 of his last 130 games (+18.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+17.50 Units / 92% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 86 of his last 130 games (+12.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Giants vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Willie Calhoun | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Giants vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Willie Calhoun | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Giants vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Villar | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Willie Calhoun | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Giants vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -150 |
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 116 games (+24.42 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games at home (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.60 Units / 66% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.33 Units / 61% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 72-67 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -1.71% ROI).
- 86-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 4.39% ROI
- 70-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 1.75% ROI
- 61-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -10.44% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 63-74 against the Run Line (-19 Units / -11.17% ROI).
- 67-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.8 Units / -12.3% ROI
- 65-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -4.4% ROI
- 65-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -4.69% ROI
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 45% (571/1,284) against Charlie Morton this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — sixth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (168/587) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 31% (176/571) against Charlie Morton this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 84th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% (58/152) against Charlie Morton in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 11th Percentile.
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 38% (50 SO in 133 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 48% (21 SO in 44 PAs) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (65/180) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Carlos Rodon this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 61-9 (.871) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Braves are 78-17 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Braves are 49-11 (.817) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Giants are just 23-65 (.261) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Giants are 54-4 (.931) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Giants are just 6-57 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Giants are just 8-13 (.381) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .750 (3,913 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Braves hitters are slugging .625 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
Braves hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Braves hitters are slugging .442 on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .211 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .364 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Giants hitters have a groundball batting average of just .216 with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .291 (621 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Braves pitchers this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 802 of 11,313 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 167 of 2,720 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gregory Santos (Giants): Groin, D60
- Brandon Belt (Giants): Knee, D60
- Donovan Walton (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hand, D10
- Robert Wood (Giants): Shoulder, D15
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): Neck, D10
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Long (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
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