• The Mariners are -150 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Braves / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on May 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Braves are 25-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 12-23 ATS.

Braves vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: JR Ritchie 1-0, 2.92 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 1-3, 3.99 ERA

Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+17.95 Units / 67% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+17.25 Units / 69% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.50 Units / 55% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+15.40 Units / 220% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.00 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cole Young has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 98% ROI)
• Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 45 away games (+30.45 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+18.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.55 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 24-11 against the Run Line (+18 Units / 47.62% ROI).

• 25-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.35 Units / 22.39% ROI
• 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -3.6% ROI
• 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -2.62% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 12-23 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -24.57% ROI).

• 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -19.11% ROI
• 16-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -9.72% ROI
• 18-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 1.43% ROI

Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Braves are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Braves are 4-8 (.333) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .111.

The Braves are 13-4 (.765) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .466.

The Braves are 25-10 (.714) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mariners are 5-2 (.714) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

The Mariners are just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

The Mariners are 43-32 (.573) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Braves (third in runs allowed).

The Mariners are 80-5 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .351 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .623 (708 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .468 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .276 this season — best in MLB.

Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mariners are batting just .198 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .339 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging .674 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .621 (398 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (150.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (313.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Braves have allowed 3.47 runs per game (59/17) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 68% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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