Braves vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 6

Seattle Mariners' J.P. Crawford follows through during an at-bat a baseball game against the Texas Rangers, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Braves
  • Braves vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Braves / Mariners TV Channel: MRTV | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on May 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Braves are 26-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 12-25 ATS.

Braves vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 2-1, 2.23 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 1-2, 4.58 ERA

Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -200O 8 +100+110
Mariners -1.5 +165U 8 -120-135

Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Braves vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+20.20 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+18.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+16.00 Units / 178% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+23.00 Units / 383% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+9.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 45 away games (+34.30 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 away games (+20.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+14.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+5.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 26-11 against the Run Line (+20 Units / 48.43% ROI).

  • 26-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 21.73% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -3.65% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -2.73% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 12-25 against the Run Line (-11.25 Units / -28.37% ROI).

  • 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -18.69% ROI
  • 17-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -9.44% ROI
  • 19-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 1.11% ROI

Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +280
Cal Raleigh +280
Julio Rodriguez +310
Drake Baldwin +380
Michael Harris II +390

Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Michael Harris II 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Matt Olson 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mitch Garver 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Leo Rivas 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Braves are 14-5 (.737) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Braves are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Braves are 4-9 (.308) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .110.

The Braves are 21-2 (.913) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mariners are 6-3 (.667) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

The Mariners are 14-69 (.169) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Mariners are just 16-29 (.356) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Braves (first in runs scored).

The Mariners are 6-76 (.073) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Braves are batting .273 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .464 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .601 (741 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .203 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging .671 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .341 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.89 runs per game (33/37) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents are hitting just .213 against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 68% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 71% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 35 double plays in 261 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Braves vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.