Braves vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves (87-51) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (77-61)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (13-5), 2.48 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (6-3), 3.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Braves vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 84-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 73-61 ATS.

Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +145O 7 -115-120
Mariners +1.5 -175U 7 -105+100

Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 65 of his last 87 games (+25.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+21.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 72 of his last 125 games (+17.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+14.95 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 83 of his last 125 games (+13.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 54 games at home (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Carlos Santana 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Carlos Santana 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -145 0.5 +100
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Mariners vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Abraham Toro 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Carlos Santana 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 4.5 -150 4.5 +105
Max Fried 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.43% ROI).

  • 84-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 5.6% ROI
  • 68-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 2.7% ROI
  • 58-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -11.44% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 73-61 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 2.29% ROI).

  • 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 8.55% ROI
  • 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -7.21% ROI
  • 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.5% ROI

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .434 (136 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (89/154) against Max Fried in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (24 Total Bases / 121 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has walked 28 of 646 batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 94th Percentile.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (5/50) against George Kirby with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has not allowed a home run in any of the last 53.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .384 (56 GB hits out of 146 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.

George Kirby has a strikeout rate of just 18% (19 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 33% — second Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 77-15 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Braves are 31-5 (.861) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Braves are 60-8 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mariners are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Mariners are 51-8 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Mariners are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mariners are 41-30 (.577) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Braves hitters are slugging .665 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .848 (1,038 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Braves hitters have 262 extra-base hits out of 649 total hits (40%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters are slugging .437 on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have been successful in 75% of their bunt for hit attempts since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% against Braves pitchers this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 443 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.