Braves vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves (86-51) are -120 favorites vs the Mariners (77-60)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (7-5), 4.00 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Robert Ray (12-8), 3.45 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+100) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Braves vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 84-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 73-61 ATS.

Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +145O 7 +100-120
Mariners +1.5 -175U 7 -120+100

Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 65 of his last 87 games (+25.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+21.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 72 of his last 125 games (+17.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+14.95 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 83 of his last 125 games (+13.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 54 games at home (+15.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+12.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +1050 0.5
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Jesse Winker 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -145 0.5 +105
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
Jesse Winker 0.5 -130 0.5 -110

Mariners vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Jesse Winker 0.5 +220 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Robbie Ray 6.5 -105 6.5 -135
Charlie Morton 6.5 -135 6.5 -105
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 111 games (+25.32 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 57 games (+13.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 42 of their last 78 games (+10.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+6.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.15 Units / 81% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.43% ROI).

  • 84-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.75 Units / 5.6% ROI
  • 68-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 2.7% ROI
  • 58-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -11.44% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 73-61 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 2.29% ROI).

  • 76-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 8.55% ROI
  • 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -7.21% ROI
  • 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.5% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% (58/149) against Charlie Morton in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 11th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 45% (557/1,244) against Charlie Morton this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — fifth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (578/1,705) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (164/561) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Robert Ray: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 51% of the time (540/1,069) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (502/1,166) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.

Robbie Ray has walked 50 of 528 right-handed batters (10%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Robbie Ray has had third base stolen on him 11 times since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Braves are 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 39-26 (.600) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Braves are 59-8 (.881) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Braves are 47-25 (.653) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mariners are 8-48 (.143) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Mariners are 15-2 (.882) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Mariners are 59-1 (.983) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Mariners are 7-53 (.117) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Braves hitters are slugging .493 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Braves hitters are slugging .441 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Braves hitters have 2,091 strikeouts in 8,385 PA’s (25%) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Mariners hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners hitters have drawn 157 walks in 1,421 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% against Braves pitchers this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 24 of 446 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Oblique, D10
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.