- The – (78-33) are favorites vs the – (78-33)
- Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Muller (0-1), 23.62 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo (3-4), 3.29 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Miami.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Braves vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 67-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 51-61 ATS.
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 70 games (+19.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 58 of his last 101 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+16.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games at home (+11.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Ronald Acuna | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Ronald Acuna | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ronald Acuna | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 87 games (+16.92 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+15.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 away games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 away games (+2.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 37% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-56 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 67-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.28% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.3 Units / 3.45% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.8 Units / -11.91% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 51-61 against the Run Line (-19.1 Units / -12.72% ROI).
- 50-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.55 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.04% ROI
Kyle Muller: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ian Anderson has allowed an OBP of .485 (97 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .319 — first Percentile.
Ian Anderson has allowed an OPS of 1.155 (97 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .757 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (88/269) against Ian Anderson on low breaking pitches this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .390 (32-for-82) against Ian Anderson when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .261 — first Percentile.
Jesús Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .098 (41 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of just .116 (43 PA’s) this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .301 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jesus Luzardo — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .075 (3-for-40) against Jesus Luzardo this month (2 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 9-2 (.818) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 29-3 (.906) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .667.
The Braves are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are just 6-36 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Marlins are just 8-26 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Marlins are just 7-26 (.212) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Marlins are just 23-29 (.442) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .671 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .557.
Braves hitters are slugging .492 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Braves hitters are slugging .307 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Braves hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 703 strikeouts in 2,546 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .288 (2,546 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .277 (850 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .635 (2,546 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 2.30 (86.0 IP) this month (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Marlins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Groin, D15
- Cole Sulser (Marlins): Lat, D15
- Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
- Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
- Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
- Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
- Max Fried (Braves): Head, D7
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): COVID, D10
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Leg, Day-to-Day
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