- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Braves vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Marlins TV Channel: BRVN | MATV | ESUN
The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+118) on May 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.
This season, the Braves are 32-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 21-27 ATS.
Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 2-2, 2.25 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 0-1, 33.78 ERA
Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | O 8.5 -118 | -145 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -140 | U 8.5 -102 | +118 |
Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+25.00 Units / 312% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.75 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 103% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+40.00 Units / 444% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 50 away games (+32.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 away games (+20.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+3.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.50 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 31-17 against the Run Line (+19.15 Units / 35.07% ROI).
- 32-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 18.11% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -13.56% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.86% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 21-27 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -13.76% ROI).
- 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 29-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.1 Units / 18.97% ROI
- 17-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.65 Units / -27.98% ROI
Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Matt Olson | +400 |
| Austin Riley | +425 |
| Ozzie Albies | +475 |
| Christopher Morel | +500 |
| Drake Baldwin | +525 |
Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xavier Edwards | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Connor Norby | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Stowers | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Joe Mack | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 12-3 (.800) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
The Braves are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.
The Braves are 32-16 (.667) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are just 8-13 (.381) after a win this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,161 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .317 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .290 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 65 total hits (just 23%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .377 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .428 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (427.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.
Opponents are hitting just .208 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.85 (218.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 441.8 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB
Marlins pitchers have 84 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (176.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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