Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 19

(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
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  • The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Braves vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+118) on May 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Braves are 32-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 21-27 ATS.

Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 2-2, 2.25 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 0-1, 33.78 ERA

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +115O 8.5 -118-145
Marlins +1.5 -140U 8.5 -102+118

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+25.00 Units / 312% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.75 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.30 Units / 103% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+40.00 Units / 444% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 50 away games (+32.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 away games (+20.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+3.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.50 Units / 7% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 31-17 against the Run Line (+19.15 Units / 35.07% ROI).

  • 32-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 18.11% ROI
  • 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -13.56% ROI
  • 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 6.86% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 21-27 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -13.76% ROI).

  • 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -5.29% ROI
  • 29-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.1 Units / 18.97% ROI
  • 17-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.65 Units / -27.98% ROI

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +400
Austin Riley +425
Ozzie Albies +475
Christopher Morel +500
Drake Baldwin +525

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Liam Hicks 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Austin Riley 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Xavier Edwards 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Connor Norby 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Kyle Stowers 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Joe Mack 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 12-3 (.800) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Braves are 16-1 (.941) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Braves are 32-16 (.667) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are just 8-13 (.381) after a win this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Marlins were 9-67 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Braves hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,161 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .317 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .290 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 65 total hits (just 23%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .377 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .428 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.14 (427.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .208 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.85 (218.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 441.8 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have 84 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (176.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.