Braves vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 20

Miami Marlins second baseman Otto Lopez (61) throws to first base for an out during the eight inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2024, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
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  • The Braves are -200 favorites vs the Marlins
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The Atlanta Braves (-200) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+165) on May 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Braves are 33-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 21-28 ATS.

Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 6-3, 1.97 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 2-4, 4.14 ERA

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 -110O 7.5 -118-200
Marlins +1.5 -110U 7.5 -102+165

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+24.00 Units / 267% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+52.00 Units / 520% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 50 away games (+32.60 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 away games (+19.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+5.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+3.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 24 games at home (+2.10 Units / 7% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 32-17 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 36.51% ROI).

  • 33-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 19.22% ROI
  • 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -11.44% ROI
  • 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 4.66% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 21-28 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -15.69% ROI).

  • 22-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6.88% ROI
  • 30-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.1 Units / 20.42% ROI
  • 17-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -29.47% ROI

Marlins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +340
Ronald Acuna Jr. +450
Austin Riley +450
Michael Harris II +475
Christopher Morel +575

Marlins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dominic Smith 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Matt Olson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Otto Lopez 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Marlins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Janson Junk 3.5 -165 3.5 +125
Chris Sale 7.5 -115 7.5 -115

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 33-16 (.673) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 17-1 (.944) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Braves are 4-13 (.235) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Braves are 2-15 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Marlins were just 62-100 (.383) in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins are just 163-210 (.437) since the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves hitters are slugging .446 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .439 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .196 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 16 extra-base hits out of 67 total hits (just 24%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .264 (936 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .520 (936 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.88 runs per game (43/49) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (436.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.43 runs per game (168/49) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 441.8 feet — — 5th shortest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (176.2 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.