• The Braves are +100 favorites vs the Marlins
• Braves vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Braves / Marlins TV Channel: BRVN | MATV | WBFS

The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-120) on September 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Braves are 94-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 83-76 ATS.

Braves vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: JR Ritchie 1-4, 4.82 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 6-9, 4.33 ERA

Braves vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.30 Units / 57% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+12.10 Units / 303% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+13.50 Units / 225% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 46% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 40% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 77% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 81-79 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 5.51% ROI).

• 94-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 3.6% ROI
• 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -7.23% ROI
• 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.63% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 83-76 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.24% ROI).

• 79-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.38% ROI
• 82-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.48% ROI
• 75-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.75 Units / -8.36% ROI

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Braves are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Braves are 9-57 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 44-8 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves are 53-40 (.570) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Marlins are just 16-35 (.314) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Braves (fifth fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .286 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OBP of just .299 (3,044 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,965 PA’s) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of .327 (6,095 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of .748 (1,931 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.60 (692.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 120 double plays in 1,087 opportunities (11%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have had second base stolen on them 123 times this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 66% of opposing batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have picked-off 3 runners from first base this season — tied for fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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