• The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Mets
• Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Braves / Mets TV Channel: BRVN | SNY | GRAY

The Atlanta Braves (-160) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+135) on July 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Braves are 62-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 47-58 ATS.

Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 11-6, 2.18 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 3-2, 3.13 ERA

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 54% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+36.50 Units / 608% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 81% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 72% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 54-51 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 6.51% ROI).

• 62-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 4.03% ROI
• 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.72% ROI
• 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -7.1% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 47-58 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -8.17% ROI).

• 45-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.85 Units / -23.62% ROI
• 48-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -6.58% ROI
• 50-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -2.61% ROI

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 23-13 (.639) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Mets (19th runs allowed).

The Braves are 6-37 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Braves are 62-44 (.585) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 7-27 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Mets are just 24-38 (.387) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Mets are 22-8 (.733) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Mets are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

The Braves have a winning percentage of 58% this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 61% at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Braves have hit 690 balls in play with an exit velocity over 100 MPH this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 43% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have a winning percentage of just 42% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets have hit 686 balls in play with an exit velocity over 100 MPH this season — 4th most in MLB.

The Mets have hit 1,112 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater this season — 3rd most in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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