• The Braves are -155 favorites vs the Mets
• Braves vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Braves / Mets TV Channel: BRVN | SNY | GRAY

The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+125) on July 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Braves are 62-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 47-58 ATS.

Braves vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: AJ Smith-Shawver 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 2-5, 4.54 ERA

Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+16.40 Units / 182% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+16.30 Units / 204% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.50 Units / 54% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+36.50 Units / 608% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.50 Units / 288% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.85 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 54-51 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 6.51% ROI).

• 62-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 4.03% ROI
• 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -0.72% ROI
• 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -7.1% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 47-58 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -8.17% ROI).

• 45-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.85 Units / -23.62% ROI
• 48-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -6.58% ROI
• 50-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -2.61% ROI

Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Braves are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 62-44 (.585) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 33-7 (.825) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Braves are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Mets are just 40-53 (.430) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Mets are just 7-27 (.206) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .303.

The Mets are 22-8 (.733) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .631.

The Mets are just 13-57 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .255 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .558 (2,141 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting .270 on changeups this season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .688 (2,906 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .304 (2,906 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .661 (1,263 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 1.08 runs per game (115/106) in late innings this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 61% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 55 double plays in 747 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 172 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

The Mets have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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