- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Sunday, April 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 0-2 ATS.
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -115 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -105 | +145 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+2.80 Units / 93% ROI)
- Israel Pineda has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.10 Units / 100% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 104 of their last 168 games (+11.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 85 away games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 43 games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 2-0 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 68.97% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 39.6% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 0-2 against the Run Line (-2 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Shuster is making his MLB debut today.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (59/196) versus MacKenzie Gore in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore walked 37 of 309 batters (12%) in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 24% (152/633) against MacKenzie Gore in 2022 — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 26% (119/463) against MacKenzie Gore in 2022 — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Braves were 36-5 (.878) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Braves were 35-29 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 105-12 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals are just 78-45 (.634) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Nationals are just 61-101 (.377) at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals were just 0-98 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .442 against RHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (1,216 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Braves hitters slugged .307 with two-strikes in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Braves hitters slugged .443 in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .262 against Nationals pitchers with the shift in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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