Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 21

Washington Nationals right fielder James Wood jogs off the field during a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
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  • The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Braves / Nationals TV Channel: BRVN | NATV

The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Braves are 16-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 13-9 ATS.

Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 1-0, 2.22 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 2-0, 3.05 ERA

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +125O 8.5 -115-140
Nationals +1.5 -150U 8.5 -105+115

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+23.10 Units / 289% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.77 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.25 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 40 away games (+27.15 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+16.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-8 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 45.36% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 19.53% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -11.94% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 5.59% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 13-9 against the Run Line (+2.05 Units / 6.87% ROI).

  • 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 10.3% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 33.6% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -41.96% ROI

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
James Wood +425
Austin Riley +425
Matt Olson +500
Ronald Acuna Jr. +500
Ozzie Albies +525

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Austin Riley 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Austin Riley 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Eli White 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Jose Tena 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 16-7 (.696) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

The Braves are 8-3 (.727) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .454.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Nationals are just 2-8 (.200) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .546.

The Nationals are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Nationals are just 75-109 (.405) since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals are just 33-57 (.363) at home since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.

The Braves are batting .274 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .788 (888 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .446 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .363 (261 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 23 double plays in 134 opportunities (17%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .248 (206 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 1.95 (97.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.42 (735.1 IP) at home in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 6.70 (94.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (208.0 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.