• The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
• Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Braves / Nationals TV Channel: BRVN | NATV

The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+110) on April 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

This season, the Braves are 17-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 14-10 ATS.

Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: JR Ritchie 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 0-1, 4.27 ERA

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+19.90 Units / 221% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.30 Units / 63% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 62% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+30.50 Units / 305% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 43% ROI)
• Daylen Lile has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+9.50 Units / 119% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.31 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 40 away games (+28.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 away games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 16-9 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 41.98% ROI).

• 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 16.24% ROI
• 12-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -3.77% ROI
• 12-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -2.58% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 14-10 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 5.73% ROI).

• 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 10.87% ROI
• 18-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 38.07% ROI
• 7-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -46.38% ROI

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Braves are just 8-43 (.157) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 17-8 (.680) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are just 15-74 (.169) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Nationals are just 3-9 (.250) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Nationals are just 13-48 (.210) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .454 this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .293 at home this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .461 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .333 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,704 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .298 (527 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals are batting just .178 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 23 double plays in 156 opportunities (15%) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (222.0 IP) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.39 (1650.2 IP) since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 7.33 runs per game (88/12) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers had an ERA of 5.34 (1424.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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