Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Braves (34-27) are -145 favorites vs the Nationals (23-39)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Ian Anderson (5-3), 4.52 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (6-4), 4.33 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 34-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-37 ATS.

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +105O 10 -115-145
Nationals +1.5 -130U 10 -105+120

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s matchup with 78.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 47 games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+13.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 51% ROI)

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 650 0.5 -2000
Josh Bell 0.5 425 0.5 -800
Juan Soto 0.5 375 0.5 -700
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 450 0.5 -900
Luis Garcia 0.5 675 0.5 -2000

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 175
Josh Bell 0.5 -275 0.5 180
Juan Soto 0.5 -200 0.5 135
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -225 0.5 155
Luis Garcia 0.5 -185 0.5 125

Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 225 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 145 0.5 -200
Juan Soto 0.5 170 0.5 -250
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 165 0.5 -250
Luis Garcia 0.5 240 0.5 -375

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josiah Gray 6.5 115 6.5 -160
Ian Anderson 4.5 110 4.5 -155
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.47 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+8.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 49 games (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 49 games (+16.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.90 Units / 73% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 32-29 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 1.27% ROI).

  • 34-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -1.83% ROI
  • 32-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 5.42% ROI
  • 26-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -13.52% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 25-37 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -23.71% ROI).

  • 23-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -12.42% ROI
  • 32-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 27-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.65 Units / -11.29% ROI

Ian Anderson allowed a batting average of .294 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .185 vs left-handed batters this season (ninth best among qualified SPs)– 85th Percentile.

Ian Anderson has a strike rate of just 58% (189/328) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Ian Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 63 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (28/78) against Ian Anderson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 55% (254/465) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (42/163) against Josiah Gray this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 20 of 111 left-handed batters (18%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (19/71) against Josiah Gray in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.

The Braves are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Braves are just 27-5 (.844) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.

The Braves are 12-3 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Nationals are just 4-37 (.098) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Nationals are just 4-135 (.029) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Nationals are just 23-36 (.390) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Nationals are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 465 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters are slugging .490 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .826 (667 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Braves hitters have 248 extra-base hits out of 572 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Nationals are batting .273 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,574 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Nationals hitters have just 124 strikeouts in 727 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have just 621 strikeouts in 3,164 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have walked 50 of 547 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (271.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

The Nationals have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .255 against Nationals pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Alcides Escobar (Nationals): Hamstring, D10
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D10
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Shoulder/Neck, D10
  • Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Right Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Collin McHugh (Braves): Undisclosed, D10
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.