- The – (37-23) are favorites vs the – (37-23)
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (6-2), 2.64 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: – (-), – ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-38 ATS.
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | O | ||
| Nationals | U |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+18.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+16.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.47 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 33-29 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 2.51% ROI).
- 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.74% ROI
- 33-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 26-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -14.98% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 25-38 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -24.89% ROI).
- 23-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -13.76% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 4.56% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -12.77% ROI
Max Fried: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
9 of Max Fried’s 32 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of 2020 — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (111 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Max Fried has a strike rate of 71% (218/309) in two strike counts this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
–: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Braves are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Braves are 29-8 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Braves are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 4-37 (.098) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Nationals are just 23-37 (.383) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Nationals are just 2-35 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Nationals are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .490 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .826 (667 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Braves hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 156 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 465 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .349 (2,586 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Nationals are batting .273 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 215 double plays in 1,703 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .333 (8,481 PA’s) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .332 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
- Alcides Escobar (Nationals): Hamstring, D10
- Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
- Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Right Forearm, D60
- Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
- Collin McHugh (Braves): Undisclosed, D10
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
- Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
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