Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 14, 2022, 11:30 AM
  • The (37-23) are favorites vs the (37-23)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried (6-2), 2.64 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Atlanta Braves () visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals () on Tuesday, June 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-38 ATS.

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves O
Nationals U

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+18.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+16.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Juan Soto has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)

Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Josh Bell 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Juan Soto 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Lane Thomas 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Luis Garcia 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Juan Soto 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Lane Thomas 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Luis Garcia 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Josh Bell 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Juan Soto 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Lane Thomas 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Luis Garcia 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Fried 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.47 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 54 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+4.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+17.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 33-29 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 2.51% ROI).

  • 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.74% ROI
  • 33-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 6.79% ROI
  • 26-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -14.98% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 25-38 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -24.89% ROI).

  • 23-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -13.76% ROI
  • 33-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 4.56% ROI
  • 27-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -12.77% ROI

9 of Max Fried’s 32 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.

39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of 2020 — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.6 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (111 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Max Fried has a strike rate of 71% (218/309) in two strike counts this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.

: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Braves are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Braves are 29-8 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Braves are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Nationals are just 4-37 (.098) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Nationals are just 23-37 (.383) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Nationals are just 2-35 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Nationals are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Braves hitters are slugging .490 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .826 (667 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Braves hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 156 total hits (50%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 465 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .349 (2,586 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Nationals are batting .273 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 215 double plays in 1,703 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .333 (8,481 PA’s) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .297 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .332 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Alcides Escobar (Nationals): Hamstring, D10
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
  • Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Right Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Collin McHugh (Braves): Undisclosed, D10
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.