- The Braves (36-27) are -200 favorites vs the Nationals (23-41)
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (2-2), 2.34 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (4-4), 4.86 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Atlanta Braves (-200) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+165) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-39 ATS.
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Braves | -1.5 -120 | O 9.5 -120 | -200 |
Nationals | +1.5 +100 | U 9.5 +100 | +165 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Josh Bell | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Juan Soto | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Josh Bell | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Juan Soto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Josh Bell | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Juan Soto | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Erick Fedde | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +115 |
Spencer Strider | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 34-29 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 3.68% ROI).
- 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 8.21% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -16.51% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 25-39 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -25.84% ROI).
- 23-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -15.06% ROI
- 34-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 5.98% ROI
- 27-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -14.33% ROI
Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has struck out 43% (29/68) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has walked 11 of 68 right-handed batters (16%) this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 75% (159/211) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (57 SO in 155 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (251/733) against Erick Fedde in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (48/270) against Erick Fedde this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 14 of 126 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has walked 16 of 94 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are just 29-5 (.853) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Braves are 30-8 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Braves are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 11-21 (.344) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 4-137 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Nationals are just 4-38 (.095) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 466 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters are slugging .488 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Braves hitters are slugging .719 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Braves hitters have 248 extra-base hits out of 573 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 134 strikeouts in 763 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,610 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,610 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have walked 52 of 565 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves pitchers have walked 13 of 248 batters (5%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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