Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 10:52 AM
  • The Braves (36-27) are -200 favorites vs the Nationals (23-41)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (2-2), 2.34 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (4-4), 4.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Atlanta Braves (-200) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+165) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-39 ATS.

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 -120O 9.5 -120-200
Nationals +1.5 +100U 9.5 +100+165

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+17.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+9.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 51 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Josh Bell 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Juan Soto 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

    Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
    Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
    Juan Soto 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Lane Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

    Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
    Josh Bell 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Juan Soto 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

    Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Erick Fedde 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
    Spencer Strider 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.47 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 51 games (+18.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 34-29 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 3.68% ROI).

    • 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI
    • 34-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 8.21% ROI
    • 26-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -16.51% ROI

    Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 25-39 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -25.84% ROI).

    • 23-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -15.06% ROI
    • 34-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 5.98% ROI
    • 27-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -14.33% ROI

    Spencer Strider has struck out 43% (29/68) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has walked 11 of 68 right-handed batters (16%) this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 75% (159/211) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (57 SO in 155 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

    Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (251/733) against Erick Fedde in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (48/270) against Erick Fedde this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

    Erick Fedde has walked 14 of 126 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

    Erick Fedde has walked 16 of 94 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

    Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

    The Braves are just 29-5 (.853) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Braves are 30-8 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Braves are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

    Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

    The Nationals are just 11-21 (.344) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Nationals are just 4-137 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

    The Nationals are just 4-38 (.095) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

    The Nationals are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 466 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Braves hitters are slugging .488 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

    Braves hitters are slugging .719 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

    Braves hitters have 248 extra-base hits out of 573 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Nationals hitters have just 134 strikeouts in 763 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Nationals hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,610 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Nationals hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Nationals hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,610 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 52 of 565 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 13 of 248 batters (5%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

    The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

    Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Alcides Escobar (Nationals): Hamstring, D10
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
  • Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Right Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Collin McHugh (Braves): Undisclosed, D10
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.