Braves vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Braves (36-27) are -200 favorites vs the Nationals (23-41)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider (2-2), 2.34 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (4-4), 4.86 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Atlanta Braves (-200) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+165) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Braves vs Nationals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 36-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 25-39 ATS.

Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 -120O 9.5 -120-200
Nationals +1.5 +100U 9.5 +100+165

Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 64.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+17.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 51 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+9.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 51 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Josh Bell 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Juan Soto 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

    Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
    Josh Bell 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
    Juan Soto 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Lane Thomas 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

    Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
    Josh Bell 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Juan Soto 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Lane Thomas 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

    Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Erick Fedde 4.5 -165 4.5 +115
    Spencer Strider 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.47 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 48 games (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 35 of their last 51 games (+18.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 34-29 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 3.68% ROI).

    • 36-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.31% ROI
    • 34-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 8.21% ROI
    • 26-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -16.51% ROI

    Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 25-39 against the Run Line (-20.35 Units / -25.84% ROI).

    • 23-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -10 Units / -15.06% ROI
    • 34-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 5.98% ROI
    • 27-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -14.33% ROI

    Spencer Strider has struck out 43% (29/68) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has walked 11 of 68 right-handed batters (16%) this season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — fifth Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strike rate of 75% (159/211) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

    Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (57 SO in 155 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

    Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (251/733) against Erick Fedde in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (48/270) against Erick Fedde this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.

    Erick Fedde has walked 14 of 126 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

    Erick Fedde has walked 16 of 94 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

    Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

    The Braves are just 29-5 (.853) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Braves are 30-8 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

    The Braves are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    The Braves are 13-3 (.812) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

    Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

    The Nationals are just 11-21 (.344) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Nationals are just 4-137 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

    The Nationals are just 4-38 (.095) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

    The Nationals are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Braves hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 466 total hits (44%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Braves hitters are slugging .488 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

    Braves hitters are slugging .719 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

    Braves hitters have 248 extra-base hits out of 573 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Nationals hitters have just 134 strikeouts in 763 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Nationals hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,610 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Nationals hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 178 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Nationals hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,610 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 52 of 565 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Braves pitchers have walked 13 of 248 batters (5%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

    The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

    Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Knee, D15
  • Alcides Escobar (Nationals): Hamstring, D10
  • Hunter Harvey (Nationals): Pronator, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D15
  • Mason Thompson (Nationals): Biceps, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Joshua Rogers (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Right Forearm, D60
  • Aníbal Sánchez (Nationals): Neck, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
  • Collin McHugh (Braves): Undisclosed, D10
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.