Braves vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

Baltimore Orioles' Tyler O'Neill rounds the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies, Saturday, July 26, 2025, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)
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  • The Orioles are -120 favorites vs the Braves
  • Braves vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Braves / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Braves are 60-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 52-50 ATS.

Braves vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 6-4, 3.69 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 6-7, 4.32 ERA

Braves vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -210O 9 -110+100
Orioles -1.5 +160U 9 -110-120

Braves vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+18.40 Units / 263% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Christian Encarnacio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.62 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 53-48 against the Run Line (+9.95 Units / 8.47% ROI).

  • 60-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 4.19% ROI
  • 50-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.44% ROI
  • 46-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -7.4% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 52-50 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.04% ROI).

  • 50-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -6.31% ROI
  • 53-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 47-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -9.74% ROI

Orioles vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +250
Matt Olson +300
Gunnar Henderson +340
Ozzie Albies +340
Drake Baldwin +350

Orioles vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Harris II 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Pete Alonso 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Orioles vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sam Huff 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Colton Cowser 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Joey Bart 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Taylor Ward 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Braves are 8-1 (.889) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 26-16 (.619) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Braves are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 32-7 (.821) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .559 (2,056 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .431 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .179 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .233 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .227 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 193 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.90 runs per game (195/50) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.26 (253.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.