• The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Padres
• Braves vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Braves / Padres TV Channel: ESPN

The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Braves are 48-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 39-35 ATS.

Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 4-3, 4.33 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-6, 3.59 ERA

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 41% ROI)
• Grant Holmes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• Jorge Mateo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.25 Units / 47% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.65 Units / 47% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
• Samad Taylor has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 50 away games (+23.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 away games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games at home (+2.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-33 against the Run Line (+14.3 Units / 16.68% ROI).

• 48-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 10.71% ROI
• 37-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.25% ROI
• 33-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.05 Units / -8.47% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 39-35 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.36% ROI).

• 39-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -0.99% ROI
• 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -14.39% ROI
• 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 6.07% ROI

Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Braves are 19-8 (.704) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .753.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Padres are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Padres are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 529 opportunities (7%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 29% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .554 (1,533 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .615 (1,605 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .286 (664 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .637 (664 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,357 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (676.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.88 runs per game (67/76) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (346.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.87 runs per game (147/38) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 433.8 feet — — shortest in MLB

The Padres have allowed 1.07 runs per game (81/76) in late innings this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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