Braves vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 24

San Diego Padres' Xander Bogaerts in action during a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Thursday, May 25, 2023, in Washington. The Padres won 8-6.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
Sportsbook PromosNew Player Offer
  • The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Padres
  • Braves vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Braves / Padres TV Channel: BRVN | PDTV

The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+115) on June 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Braves are 48-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 41-35 ATS.

Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 6-3, 2.78 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: JP Sears 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +125O 7.5 +100-140
Padres +1.5 -155U 7.5 -120+115

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Braves vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+13.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.70 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rodolfo Duran has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 away games (+19.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 away games (+12.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 away games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-35 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 14.02% ROI).

  • 48-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 8.44% ROI
  • 38-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.22% ROI
  • 34-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -8.42% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 41-35 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.57% ROI).

  • 41-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.18% ROI
  • 34-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -14.05% ROI
  • 42-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 5.72% ROI

Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +360
Ozzie Albies +390
Manny Machado +390
Drake Baldwin +425
Austin Riley +425

Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Manny Machado 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jase Bowen 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Samad Taylor 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Rodolfo Duran 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jackson Merrill 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 5-25 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Braves are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Braves are 24-16 (.600) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Padres are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Padres are 30-1 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Padres are 15-13 (.536) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Braves (second in runs allowed).

Braves hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .759 (1,576 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .378 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .255 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .208 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .657 (2,853 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,853 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,650 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.87 runs per game (68/78) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (693.2 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.50 runs per game (133/38) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .266 against Padres pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed 75 home runs this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Braves vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.