• The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Phillies
• Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Braves / Phillies TV Channel: BRVN | NSPA

The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-14 ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 0-1, 3.14 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 1-2, 7.05 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+18.05 Units / 72% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 48% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Edmundo Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+18.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+9.20 Units / 65% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.80 Units / 30% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 35 away games (+21.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+11.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+6.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 11-8 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 33.25% ROI).

• 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 8.38% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -3.77% ROI
• 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -2.43% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-14 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -51.57% ROI).

• 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -23.53% ROI
• 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 12.03% ROI
• 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -19.08% ROI

Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Braves are 10-1 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .760.

The Braves are just 23-80 (.223) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 17-54 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 29-101 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .203 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .316 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .279 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .764 (4,220 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OBP of .330 (4,220 PA’s) against RHP in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

The Phillies batted .258 in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 22 double plays in 115 opportunities (19%) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (169.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Phillies pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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